intellectronica.net: Eleanor on Everything

Resolved: Will Manifold Markets enable login with username (or email) and password by April?

Resolved my first manifold market, on the rather mundane and meta question of whether Manifold Markets will provide a non-Google login by April (no, they didn’t). I took the liberty to resolve it 3 hours too early (the official end of the month is at midnight when I usually sleep) but I think that’s acceptable by Manifold Markets’ relaxed standards. During the month and a half of the market’s lifetime it behaved pretty much as expected - initially predicting high probability (driven by many hopeful users) and converging towards single digit as the deadline approached with no sign that the feature will be released.